Vol. 01Issue 10LithiumTuesday, October 27, 2026
Lithium
Lithium coverage.
Lithium supply splits three ways: South American brines, hard rock spodumene, and recycling. The three streams have different cost curves and different lead times.
Macro driver
Battery cycle
Exchanges
TSXV and CSE
The setup.
EV adoption drives base-case demand. The question is which supply source fills the gap, and when.
The risk.
Lithium prices are volatile. The 2022 to 2024 cycle showed how fast the market can flip from shortage to surplus.
What we watch.
EV production data, brine and spodumene cost curves, Chinese battery capacity utilization, and lithium juniors on the TSXV with defined resources.

