Most nickel goes into stainless steel. A smaller but faster-growing share goes into batteries. The two markets need different products and price differently.
Class 1 vs Class 2 nickel is a real structural split. Battery nickel has different economics than stainless nickel.
Indonesian HPAL capacity has changed the game. Cost curves reset when Indonesia scales.
We watch: LME nickel inventories, Indonesian HPAL projects online, EV chemistry mix (NMC vs LFP), and TSXV nickel-sulphide juniors.