Lithium supply splits three ways: South American brines, hard rock spodumene, and recycling. The three streams have different cost curves and different lead times.
EV adoption drives base-case demand. The question is which supply source fills the gap, and when.
Lithium prices are volatile. The 2022-2024 cycle showed how fast the market can flip from shortage to glut.
We watch: EV production data, brine vs spodumene cost curves, Chinese battery capacity utilization, and TSXV lithium juniors with real resources.